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Making Sense of a Wild Week

Mar 13, 2020

The irony was pretty striking. This afternoon’s headline on Yahoo Finance was: Dow surges 1,300 points as Trump declares national emergency Normally, a national emergency would be cause for fear, but the market is already pricing in fear, so it rallied big today after the president made the declaration. It was a wild week that saw some of the biggest drops and biggest gains since the 2008 financial crisis. Fear in the market is in rare territory near record highs. Fears of the coronavirus, a looming recession, and an unfolding oil price war have rattled the market and the economy. Investors are wondering if they should sell everything, invest more, or simply do nothing. I want to address these questions and concerns for you. Continue Reading…

Special Update: What to Do About the Coronavirus Bear Market

Mar 12, 2020

It’s like a punch to the gut. Stocks have fallen rapidly into a bear market on coronavirus fears and the dramatic steps governments and businesses are taking to contain it. I’ve been through bear markets before, and they are always rough while we’re in the middle of them. Always. It’s in our nature to dislike uncertainty, and there’s an awful lot of that going around right now. So, while I can’t give you exact answers to some questions, I can help you think rationally about what’s happening and the next steps. I’ve recorded another special MoneyLine podcast to do just that. Continue Reading…

The Timely Lesson of My First Big Mistake

Mar 11, 2020

One of the new buzz phrases to come out of the coronavirus scare is “social distancing.” It’s a fancy way of saying, “If we don’t get too close to each other, we hope the virus won’t spread as much.” Social distancing is moving to new levels in the U.S. as the number of cases increases and with the World Health Organization today officially labeling the coronavirus a pandemic. That sparked another round of selling as the stock market retested its lows – which is to be expected. We’re hearing about more measures to keep our distance, from companies encouraging their employees to work from home to jurisdictions discouraging or even outright banning large gatherings. We’re used to remote working and learning, but how about remote surgeries? Continue Reading…

New Technology Helps Fight the Coronavirus (And Beyond)

Mar 10, 2020

“5G wireless is going to change the world.” I’ve been saying that for a year and a half now. At first, it was really only us “insiders” who could see it – those of us who closely monitor technology trends. But I think it’s really going to hit home for people now that they see how 5G is helping with these coronavirus outbreaks. The coronavirus is not what I want to be talking about right now. Just like it’s keeping people at home (whenever they can…and whenever they’re not out at the stores to stockpile goods), the coronavirus is also keeping great investments from realizing their potential. But there is a silver lining. Continue Reading…

Special Market Update: Navigating the Mass Hysteria

Mar 09, 2020

It’s been more than 11 years since we’ve seen a down day like today in the market. Investors sold pretty much everything, as more than 95% of stocks in the market were down today. This, of course, comes on the heels of other panic sell-offs over the last two weeks. In that context, it’s no surprise that fear levels are in rare territory. In fact, the volatility index (VIX) has only been as high as it is now twice before – during the financial crisis in 2008 and back in October 1987 when the Dow lost 22.7% in one day. Both times turned out to be great buying opportunities. I expect that will be the case again. The U.S. economy was in good shape before the coronavirus hit and should be able to weather any brief slowdown. Continue Reading…

Biotech’s Response to the Coronavirus Shows How Far We’ve Come… And the Breakthroughs Ahead

Mar 06, 2020

Little did I know when I woke up on October 14, 1980 how important that day would become in my life. I was just a wide-eyed four-year-old, and as my family and I prepared for game one of the World Series between my beloved Philadelphia Phillies and the Kansas City Royals (spoiler: the Phillies won their first World Series), an even more historic event was about to take place. About 100 miles north of us in New York City, Genentech was becoming the first biotechnology company to trade on a public stock exchange. Shares, which traded under the symbol “GENE,” opened at $35 and quickly shot up to $88 before closing the wild first session at $71.25. Continue Reading…

This Technology Is Transforming Healthcare… And It Won’t Stay Out of the Spotlight for Long

Mar 05, 2020

Hypergrowth investing is one of the absolute best ways to turn small amounts of money into life-changing wealth. I follow multiple hypergrowth trends very closely, and one I can’t get enough of lately is artificial intelligence (AI). A hypergrowth investor puts his or her hard-earned capital in industries and businesses with the potential to growth 10… 20… 50… even 100 times their current size. We’ve got such an opportunity on our hands with AI. Think about it. The internet created roughly $10 trillion in global equity in 20 years, according to ARK Invest. That’s more than the economies of Japan and Germany combined. Continue Reading…

Time to Make Your Move As Digital Currencies Go Mainstream

Mar 04, 2020

You may not have heard over the noise of the financial media lately, but cryptocurrencies continue to thrive. After tumbling with the broader market in recent days, bitcoin rebounded 3.7% on Monday, while many of its “altcoin” peers climbed even higher. The CIX100, which is a basket of the 100 largest coins that was created by Cryptoindex, is up 30% year-to-date. I see this as the beginning of the next great surge as digital currencies like bitcoin and other altcoins are becoming more mainstream with each passing day. It’s quite simple really. The more people use their networks, the more likely these cryptocurrencies rise to new heights. Continue Reading…

Breaking Down the Fed’s Emergency Interest Rate Cut

Mar 03, 2020

I’m writing to you today from sunny Clearwater, Florida, where I look forward to catching a few Philadelphia Phillies spring training games over the next several days. I flew down this morning, and guess what? I didn’t hear even one mention of the coronavirus. The boarding procedure was completely normal, and I had no concerns getting on a plane full of people. From what I could tell, nobody else did either. As we were in the middle of a smooth flight, the Federal Reserve announced an emergency 0.5% interest rate cut… because of the coronavirus nobody on the plane talked about. The market jumped immediately – with the S&P 500 up 1.5% at its peak – only to turn negative within 15 minutes. Continue Reading…

Key Takeaways from This Historic Week

Feb 29, 2020

You’ve seen the headlines by now. You know this was the worst week for the market since the financial crisis more than 10 years ago. I sent you a Special Market Update on Wednesday with my detailed thoughts on the action and what investors should do and not do. Today, let’s look at some of the important takeaways from this historic week and what they tell us about what’s ahead. We’ll start with a technical indicator. On Thursday, only 7% of stocks in the S&P 500 closed above their 50-day moving average. This is rare territory, lower than 98% of the historical data going back to December 2001, which means we could be close to a turn. Compound Capital Advisors looked back through the data and found this has occurred nine times. Continue Reading…
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